The Serie A title race is heating up as Inter and AC Milan set the stage for a thrilling finish to the 2025-26 season. Close behind them are Napoli, Juventus, and AS Roma, all vying for the Scudetto. Last season, Napoli clinched the title on the final matchday, demonstrating just how competitive the league can be. This year, the stakes are once again high, with Inter leading the standings by a mere three points over rival AC Milan. Meanwhile, Napoli, Juventus, and AS Roma are not far behind, positioning themselves to make a significant move as the season progresses. Let’s break down the potential outcomes for the top five teams and explore the reasons that could either propel them to victory or potentially derail their ambitions.
1. Inter — 46 points
Why they will win: Inter has emerged as the frontrunner this season, showcasing strong performances despite some setbacks, including four unexpected losses. Cristian Chivu, the new head coach, has reinvigorated the squad after a disappointing finish in the previous season. His proactive strategy and effective player rotations have fostered a solid team dynamic. Notably, young talent Francesco Pio Esposito has been well integrated into the lineup, adding fresh energy to the team.
Why they’ll crash out: While they sit at the top, Inter’s struggles against high-caliber opponents, including Napoli, AC Milan, and Juventus, could become a decisive flaw. Their inability to capitalize in these key matches could undermine their lead, especially with crucial Champions League fixtures approaching that may sap their resources and focus.
2. AC Milan — 43 points
Why they will win: Massimiliano Allegri’s appointment appears to be paying off as AC Milan maintains a competitive edge in the race for the title. With the Champions League looming, a slip from Inter could open the door for Milan. Moreover, standout performances, particularly from USMNT striker Christian Pulisic, who has scored ten goals across both Serie A and Coppa Italia, add to their title hopes.
Why they won’t win: Despite their potential, Milan’s journey is just beginning under Allegri. Injuries have hampered their best offensive lineup, often sidelining both Pulisic and fellow striker Rafael Leao. Consequently, the depth of their squad may not yet measure up to that of Inter or Napoli, which could hinder their title pursuit.
3. Napoli — 40 points
Why they will win: Antonio Conte has significantly impacted Napoli since his arrival, leading them to a remarkable title win last season. His strategic prowess is evident, fostering a winning mentality among the players. The club’s wise investments, including bringing in stars like Kevin de Bruyne and Rasmus Hojlund, have further strengthened their position.
Why they won’t win: Unfortunately, injuries are a significant concern for Napoli. Star players, including de Bruyne and Romelu Lukaku, have faced absences that have disrupted their chemistry and performance. Additionally, the grind of Champions League matches has strained the squad, affecting their consistency in Serie A.
4. Juventus — 39 points
Why they will win: Under Luciano Spalletti, Juventus has found renewed vigor and identity. This revitalization could help them bridge the gap with their rivals. The team’s potential to disrupt the standings is considerable, especially if they can build on recent performances.
Why they won’t win: Nonetheless, Juventus grapples with squad issues. The exodus of key players in the summer could further weaken their standing. Injuries to critical figures like Dusan Vlahovic, who had a promising start to the season, represent another hurdle they must navigate.
5. AS Roma — 39 points
Why they will win: AS Roma is under the new direction of Gian Piero Gasperini, and the early signs are promising. The team has embraced the coaching philosophy and looks poised to challenge more established competitors. Notable winter transfer additions, including Robinio Vaz and Donyell Malen, can provide a much-needed boost.
Why they won’t win: However, the Giallorossi are still finding their footing. Their development will take time, making it challenging to see them compete consistently against the league’s elite this season. Gasperini’s focus on long-term growth might mean they need patience before becoming true title contenders.
